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Cathie Wood disputes Jack Dorsey's hyperinflation warning, says prices will fall after holidays

Innovation investor Cathie Wood on Monday rebutted Twitter and Square founder Jack Dorsey's theory on hyperinflation.

The founder and CEO of Ark Invest took to Twitter to expound upon her contrarian theory about deflation after Dorsey tweeted Friday evening that "Hyperinflation is going to change everything. It's happening." Wood estimates that her hypothesis will start to play out sometime after the holidays.

"Now we believe that three sources of deflation will overcome the supply chain-induced inflation that is wreaking havoc on the global economy. Two sources are secular, or long term, and one is cyclical. Technologically enabled innovation is deflationary and the most potent source," Wood said in the Twitter thread.

The ARK Innovation portfolio manager noted that training costs for artificial intelligence are dropping 40% to 70% per year, which she believes is a "record-breaking deflationary force."

"When costs and prices decline, velocity and disinflation - if not deflation - follow. If consumers and businesses believe that prices will fall in the future, they will wait to buy buy goods and services, pushing the velocity of money down," she added.

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Wood calls these companies "value traps" and has previously said the major stock market averages are in danger because of them.

The final factor that should lead to deflation is the stockpiling of goods due to the pandemic and supply chain bottlenecks. Many companies have been overordering supply, which the economy is about to shift to the services sector as the economy opens up, Wood has explained.

"Because businesses shut down and were caught flat-footed as goods consumption took off during the coronavirus crisis, they still are scrambling to catch up, probably double- and triple-ordering beyond their needs," she added.

"As a result, once the holiday season passes and companies face excess supplies, prices should unwind. Some commodity prices - lumber and iron ore - already have dropped 50%, China's crackdowns are one of the reasons. The oil price is an outlier and psychologically important," Wood said.

Wood made a name for herself after a banner 2020 in which Ark Innovation returned nearly 150%. The fund is down 2% in 2021 but has seen more than $5.7 billion in inflows this year.

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